Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Myths about the 2008 crisis

Three economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Chari, Christiano and Kehoe, point out to Four Myths about the Financial Crisis of 2008 (it's a short paper and full of graphs). 
 
"Clearly, the United States and the world economy are undergoing a major financial crisis. Interbank borrowing and lending rates have risen to unprecedented levels relative to U.S. Treasury Bills. Several major financial institutions have failed. These real problems have also been associated with four widely-held myths about the nature of the financial crisis and the associated spillovers to the rest of the economy. The financial press and policymakers have made four claims about the nature of the crisis:
  1. Bank lending to nonfinancial corporations and individuals has declined sharply.
  2. Interbank lending is essentially nonexistent.
  3. Commercial paper issuance by nonfinancial corporations has declined sharply and rates have risen to unprecedented levels.
  4. Banks play a large role in channeling funds from savers to borrowers.
Here we examine these claims using data from the Federal Reserve Board. At least based on data up until October 8, 2008, we argue that all four claims are false."
 
So yes, it looks like capitalism will survive... On the other hand, a summary of the US real estate market adjustment process  is here.
 

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